At the beginning of this year, I was a 40% doomer. Now, after more research, I'm more of a 80% doomer. Personally, I have something bad to say for every proposed solution to this mess. Make no mistake, though. I can confidently say that society will use all these solutions after peak oil but in a very very very limited scale. The amount of difference it makes for most of society will be minimal. The rich will be well-off and able to use renewable energy while the poor will have to suffer a lot. Raw materials prices will rise, all liquids fuels whether natural, synthetic or biological (biofuels) will rise in price. Judging that CTL were the most used alternative fuel after the 1973 and 1980 fuel crisis, we can expect huge CO2 emissions and huge chunks of glaciers melting, raising water levels and warming the planet.
[img]http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2006/07/05/business/20060705_COALFUEL_GRAPHIC.gif[/img]
But even that will be a very limited alternative. I think it's a no-brainer to realize that society is not prepared for this (we got 1 to 2 years before terminal decline). There's no debate about that. In order for these solutions to have an impact to soften the blow from peak oil, we should've built them from 1980 onwards. Again, make no mistake. It's not that alternative energy can't provide the transition [i]given limitless time[/i]. But, we left it too late. Way, way, wayyyy too late. Even if we 100% prioritized renewable energy production, it wouldn't make too much of a difference and it may worsen it if no other investment is made to health care, security, agriculture, welfare, water, mining, housing, education (train engineers), etc.. Let's see the fastest renewable energy shource:
[img]http://www.upcrenewables.com/images/charts/chart1.jpg[/img]
It took 8 years to get from 5GW to 20GW (during a time when diesel was cheap) while oil provides 18TW. It's naive to think that it'll make a difference even if we don't mention the fact that diesel is required. A lot of people mention biodiesel so let's look at the picture:
[img]http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/8a/World_energy_usage_width_chart.svg/741px-World_energy_usage_width_chart.svg.png[/img]
The ability for biodiesel to help us replace diesel works but it is very very limited. Like I said, it will hardly make a difference including solutions to electrify the rail. Refer to the other threads on what diesel is required for including ballast regulators, rail spikers, cargo transloading from land onto trains, bulldozers, tractors, scrapers, graders, road rollers, gantry cranes, rail threaders, concrete mixers (concrete is the foundation for the steel masts for overhead lines).
Detailed technical info:
[quote]Preparing the trackbed
The work on a high-speed line (ligne à grande vitesse, or LGV) begins with earth moving. The trackbed is carved into the landscape, using scrapers, graders, bulldozers and other heavy machinery. All fixed structures are built; these include bridges, flyovers, culverts, game tunnels, and the like. Drainage facilities, most notably the large ditches on either side of the trackbed, are constructed. Supply bases are established near the end of the high-speed tracks, where crews will form work trains to carry rail, sleepers and other supplies to the work site.
Next, a layer of compact gravel is spread on the trackbed. This, after being compacted by rollers, provides an adequate surface for vehicles with tyres. TGV tracklaying then proceeds. The tracklaying process is not particularly specialized to high-speed lines; the same general technique is applicable to any track that uses continuous welded rail. The steps outlined below are used around the world in modern tracklaying. TGV track, however, answers to stringent requirements that dictate materials, dimensions and tolerances.
[edit] Laying the track
To begin laying track, a gantry crane that rides on rubber tires is used to lay down panels of prefabricated track. These are laid roughly in the location where one of the tracks will be built (all LGVs have two tracks). Each panel is 18 metres (60 feet) long, and rests on wooden sleepers. No ballast is used at this stage, since the panel track is temporary.
Once the panel track is laid, a work train (pulled by diesel locomotives) can bring in the sections of continuous welded rail that will be used for the permanent way of this first track. The rail comes from the factory in lengths varying from 200 m (660 ft) to 400 m (1310 ft). Such long pieces of rail are just laid across several flatcars; they are very flexible, so this does not pose a problem. A special crane unloads the rail sections and places them on each side of the temporary track, approximately 3.5 m (12 ft) apart. This operation is usually carried out at night, for thermal reasons. The rail itself is standard UIC section, 60 kg/m (40 lb/ft), with a tensile strength of 800 newtons per square millimetre or megapascals (116,000 psi).
For the next step, a gantry crane is used again. This time, however, the crane rides on the two rails that were just laid alongside the temporary track. A train of flatcars, half loaded with LGV sleepers, arrives at the site. It is pushed by a special diesel locomotive, which is low enough to fit underneath the gantry cranes. The cranes remove the panels of temporary track, and stack them onto the empty half of the sleeper train. Next, they pick up sets of 30 LGV sleepers, pre-arranged with the proper spacing (60 cm, or 24 in), using a special fixture. The sleepers are laid on the gravel bed where the panel track was. The sleeper train leaves the worksite loaded with sections of panel track.
The sleepers, sometimes known as bi-bloc sleepers, are U41 twin block reinforced concrete, 2.4 m (7 ft 10 in.) wide, and weigh 245 kg (540 lb) each. They are equipped with hardware for Nabla RNTC spring fasteners, and a 9 mm (3/8 in.) rubber pad. (Rubber pads are always used under the rail on concrete sleepers, to avoid cracking). Next, a rail threader is used to lift the rails onto their final position on the sleepers. This machine rides on the rails just like the gantry cranes, but can also support itself directly on a sleeper. By doing this, it can lift the rails, and shift them inwards over the ends of the sleepers, to the proper gauge (standard gauge). It then lowers them onto the rubber sleeper cushions, and workers use a pneumatically operated machine to bolt down the Nabla clips with a predetermined torque. The rails are canted inward at a slope of 1 in 20.
[edit] Joining track sections
The sections of rail are welded together using thermite. Conventional welding (using some type of flame) does not work well on large metal pieces such as rails, since the heat is conducted away too quickly. Thermite is better suited to this job. It is a mix of aluminium powder and rust (iron oxide) powder, which reacts to produce iron, aluminum oxide, and a very large amount of heat. This last property is what makes it ideal to join pieces of rail.
Before the rail is joined, its length must be adjusted very accurately. This ensures that the thermal stresses in the rail after it is joined into one continuous piece do not exceed certain limits, resulting in lateral kinks (in hot weather) or fractures (in cold weather). The joining operation is performed by an aluminothermic welding machine which is equipped with a rail saw, a weld shear and a grinder. When the thermite welding process is complete, the weld is ground down to the profile of the rail, resulting in a seamless join between rail sections. Thermal stresses in the rail due to varying ambient temperatures are absorbed without longitudinal strain, except near bridges where an expansion joint is sometimes used.
[edit] Adding ballast
The next step consists of stuffing a deep bed of ballast underneath the new track. The ballast arrives in a train of hopper cars pulled by one or two diesel locomotives. Handling this train is challenging, since the ballast must be spread as evenly as possible. If the train stops, ballast can pile over the rails and derail it.
A first layer of ballast is dumped directly onto the track, and a tamping-lining-levelling machine, riding on the rails, forces the stones underneath the sleepers. Each pass of this machine can raise the level of the track by 8 cm (3 in), so several passes of ballasting and of the machine are needed to build up a layer of ballast at least 32 cm (1 foot) thick under the sleepers. The ballast is also piled thick on each side of the track for lateral stability. The machine performs the initial alignment of the track. Next, a ballast regulator distributes the ballast evenly. Finally, a dynamic vibrator machine shakes the track to perform the final tamping, effectively simulating the passing of 2500 axles.
[edit] Finishing construction
Now that the first track is almost complete, work begins on the adjacent track. This time, however, it is not necessary to lay a temporary track. Trains running on the first track bring the sleepers, and then the rail, which is unloaded directly onto the sleepers by dispensing arms that swing out to the proper alignment. The Nabla fasteners are secured, and the ballast is stuffed under the track as before.
The two tracks are now essentially complete, but the work on the line is not finished. The catenary masts need to be erected, and the wire strung on them. Catenary installation is not complicated; it will suffice to give a brief summary of specifications. The steel masts are I-beams, placed in a concrete foundation up to 63 m (206 ft) apart. The supports are mounted on glass insulators. The carrier wire is bronze, 65 mm² cross section, 14 kN (3100 lbf) tension. The stitch wire is bronze, 15 m (49.21 ft) long, 35 mm² cross-section. The droppers are 5 mm stranded copper cable. The contact wire is hard drawn copper, 120 mm², flat section on the contact side, 14 kN tension. The maximum depth of the catenary (distance between carrier and contact wires) is 1.4 m (4.59 feet). The contact wire can rise a maximum of 240 mm (9.44 inches) but the normal vertical displacement does not exceed 120 mm (4.72 inches).
Now that the catenary is complete, the track is given final alignment adjustments down to millimeter tolerances. The ballast is then blown to remove smaller gravel fragments and dust, which might be kicked up by trains. This step is especially important on high-speed tracks, since the blast of a passing train is strong. Finally, TGV trains are tested on the line at gradually increasing speeds. The track is qualified at speeds slightly higher than will be used in everyday operations (typically 350 km/h, or 210 mph), before being opened to commercial service.[/quote]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGV_construction
Picture of a [size=200][b]rail threader[/b][/size] (whose ultimate job is to align and place the rails on the ground):
[img]http://www.railroad.net/santucci/Threading_rail2.jpg[/img]
It has rubber wheels and it needs diesel.
The I-beams's foundation is concrete and it requires cement. Cement is a huge industry that must require fossil fuels:
[quote]Most cement kilns today use coal and petroleum coke as primary fuels, and to a lesser extent natural gas and fuel oil. [/quote]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cement#Cement_business
Prices for concrete and steel will rise exponentially.
